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COVID-19 mortality and health expenditures across European countries: the positive correlation puzzle

Abstract : The positive correlation between health share expenditures and COVID-19 case fatalities in a cross-section of 31 European countries is puzzling. The positive relationships is also detected in weighted OLS and IV models that control for many usual suspects of the COVID-19 mortality: (1) health indicators (personal risk factors, medical resources), (2) virus ease of circulation, (3) macroeconomic variables related to the economic development and social orientation of the country. COVID-19 case fatalities are lower in countries with significant resources dedicated to health care (hospital beds and medical doctors); the contribution of virus circulation factors is less significant. Policy implications follow.
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https://hal-essec.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02920258
Contributor : Michel Demoura <>
Submitted on : Monday, August 31, 2020 - 6:34:24 PM
Last modification on : Friday, September 4, 2020 - 3:29:47 AM

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Serge Blondel, Radu Vranceanu. COVID-19 mortality and health expenditures across European countries: the positive correlation puzzle. 2020. ⟨hal-02920258v2⟩

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