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COVID-19 mortality and health expenditures across European countries: the positive correlation puzzle

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Abstract

The positive correlation between health share expenditures and COVID-19 case fatalities in a cross-section of 31 European countries is puzzling. The positive relationships is also detected in weighted OLS and IV models that control for many usual suspects of the COVID-19 mortality: (1) health indicators (personal risk factors, medical resources), (2) virus ease of circulation, (3) macroeconomic variables related to the economic development and social orientation of the country. COVID-19 case fatalities are lower in countries with significant resources dedicated to health care (hospital beds and medical doctors); the contribution of virus circulation factors is less significant. Policy implications follow.
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Dates and versions

hal-02920258 , version 1 (24-08-2020)
hal-02920258 , version 2 (31-08-2020)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : hal-02920258 , version 2

Cite

Serge Blondel, Radu Vranceanu. COVID-19 mortality and health expenditures across European countries: the positive correlation puzzle. 2020. ⟨hal-02920258v2⟩
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