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Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2015

Explicit diversification benefit for dependent risks

Michel Dacorogna
  • Fonction : Auteur
Laila Elbahtouri
  • Fonction : Auteur
Marie Kratz
  • Fonction : Auteur
  • PersonId : 1163150

Résumé

We propose a new approach to analyse the effect of diversification on a portfolio of risks. By means of mixing techniques, we provide an explicit formula for the probability density function of the portfolio. These techniques allow to compute analytically risk measures as VaR or TVaR, and consequently the associated diversification benefit. The explicit formulas constitute ideal tools to analyse the properties of risk measures and diversification benefit. We use standard models, which are popular in the reinsurance industry, Archimedean survival copulas and heavy tailed marginals. We explore numerically their behavior and compare them to the aggregation of independent random variables, as well as of linearly dependent ones. Moreover, the numerical convergence of Monte Carlo simulations of various quantities is tested against the analytical result. The speed of convergence appears to depend on the fatness of the tail; the higher the tail index, the faster the convergence.
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Dates et versions

hal-01256869 , version 1 (15-01-2016)

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  • HAL Id : hal-01256869 , version 1

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Michel Dacorogna, Laila Elbahtouri, Marie Kratz. Explicit diversification benefit for dependent risks. 2015. ⟨hal-01256869⟩

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